Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Carrick 49.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 76.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 60.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 61.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Backlund
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Backlund
Carrick
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
0
Backlund
Carrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Backlund
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
49.2% (307)
+2.7%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
66.7% (6)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
48.2% (56)
-3.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Backlund
Carrick
Home
51.9% (673)
50.3% (175)
Away
49.9% (713)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Backlund
Carrick
P1
51.4%
41.0%
P2
50.5%
51.2%
P3
51.4%
55.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |