Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Carrick 53.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 55.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 56.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 69.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Backlund
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
53.8% (654)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
0.0% (2)
+52.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
63.9% (36)
-23.3%
On power play, Backlund has a +52.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Backlund
Carrick
Home
48.7% (749)
50.0% (328)
Away
48.1% (703)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Backlund
Carrick
P1
50.4%
56.7%
P2
50.1%
51.1%
P3
45.8%
54.8%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |