Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Reinhart 43.4% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 57.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 88.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 64.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Backlund
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (712)
38.9% (72)
+12.4%
Power Play
52.9% (51)
35.7% (42)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (217)
42.9% (21)
+4.6%
On power play, Backlund has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Backlund is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Backlund shoots left. Reinhart is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Backlund
Reinhart
Home
49.0% (449)
34.7% (75)
Away
51.8% (531)
43.3% (60)
By Period
Backlund
Reinhart
P1
46.9%
43.9%
P2
54.7%
32.6%
P3
49.4%
39.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.5%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
38.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |