Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 72.1%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 55.5%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 65.8%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Backlund
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Backlund
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Backlund
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Reinhart
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Backlund
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
44.1% (324)
+6.3%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
40.3% (72)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
33.9% (118)
+6.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Backlund shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Backlund
Reinhart
Home
48.7% (749)
40.5% (232)
Away
48.1% (703)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Backlund
Reinhart
P1
50.4%
46.4%
P2
50.1%
32.6%
P3
45.8%
45.4%
OT
30.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |