Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.6%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Reinhart 50.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 51.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 70.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 64.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Backlund
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Backlund
Reinhart
Last 8: Backlund 6-2 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
2
Backlund
Reinhart
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
0
Backlund
Reinhart
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
49.4% (259)
+2.5%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
54.4% (136)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
47.9% (71)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Backlund
Reinhart
Home
51.9% (673)
54.9% (235)
Away
49.9% (713)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Backlund
Reinhart
P1
51.4%
52.3%
P2
50.5%
50.0%
P3
51.4%
50.0%
OT
35.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |