Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 53.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 91.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 68.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Backlund
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
39.0% (77)
+11.1%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
35.4% (48)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
40.9% (22)
+6.9%
On power play, Backlund has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Backlund shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Backlund
Reinhart
Home
48.1% (580)
35.7% (84)
Away
51.1% (653)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Backlund
Reinhart
P1
45.1%
42.6%
P2
54.7%
34.7%
P3
49.0%
37.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |