Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Backlund wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 63.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 88.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 83.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Backlund
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Backlund
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
44.6% (345)
+6.4%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
43.3% (97)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
43.2% (88)
-0.9%
On power play, Backlund has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Backlund shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Backlund
Reinhart
Home
51.2% (782)
47.9% (267)
Away
49.4% (765)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Backlund
Reinhart
P1
51.5%
45.6%
P2
49.8%
42.0%
P3
49.9%
45.4%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |