Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 66.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 68.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Backlund
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Backlund
Kuraly
Last 6: Backlund 3-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Backlund
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
52.3% (982)
-0.8%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
41.9% (43)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
39.2% (245)
+6.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Backlund
Kuraly
Home
51.6% (653)
50.3% (680)
Away
49.3% (576)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Backlund
Kuraly
P1
50.0%
49.5%
P2
49.8%
49.6%
P3
51.7%
49.0%
OT
53.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |