Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 50.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 55.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 54.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Backlund
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
51.8% (444)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
45.3% (150)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Backlund shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Backlund
Kuraly
Home
48.1% (580)
54.6% (304)
Away
51.1% (653)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Backlund
Kuraly
P1
45.1%
55.2%
P2
54.7%
45.7%
P3
49.0%
49.5%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:48 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |