Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Stützle 43.0% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 75.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 54.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 70.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Backlund
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Backlund
Stützle
Last 7: Backlund 4-3 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Backlund
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
2
Backlund
Stützle
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
42.7% (457)
+9.2%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
20.0% (5)
+31.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
25.0% (24)
+19.3%
On power play, Backlund has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Stützle is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stützle
Home
51.9% (673)
43.1% (253)
Away
49.9% (713)
39.9% (233)
By Period
Backlund
Stützle
P1
51.4%
44.9%
P2
50.5%
43.9%
P3
51.4%
35.8%
OT
35.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |