Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Stützle 47.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 65.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 53.2%
Neutral zone
Stützle 53.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Backlund
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Backlund
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
2
Backlund
Stützle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Backlund
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
45.3% (468)
+5.7%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
62.5% (24)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
60.0% (20)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Stützle is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stützle
Home
51.2% (782)
46.3% (270)
Away
49.4% (765)
47.1% (242)
By Period
Backlund
Stützle
P1
51.5%
46.1%
P2
49.8%
45.8%
P3
49.9%
48.2%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |