Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Stützle 45.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 53.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 63.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Backlund
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Backlund
Stützle
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
2
Backlund
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
3
Backlund
Stützle
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Backlund
Stützle
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
45.1% (2,292)
+4.6%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
55.4% (101)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
47.7% (86)
-3.7%
On even strength, Backlund has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Backlund shoots left. Stützle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,489).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stützle
Home
49.7% (8,565)
47.7% (1,282)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
43.4% (1,197)
By Period
Backlund
Stützle
P1
48.5%
47.1%
P2
50.3%
45.4%
P3
48.4%
44.1%
OT
44.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | OT | 02:30 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |