Scouting Report
Tim Stützle holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.7% vs Stützle 52.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stützle 88.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.9%
Neutral zone
Stützle 59.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Backlund
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Backlund
Stützle
Last 10: Backlund 6-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
2
Backlund
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
0
Backlund
Stützle
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
2
Backlund
Stützle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (891)
53.0% (485)
-2.9%
Power Play
53.1% (64)
55.2% (58)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (278)
56.7% (30)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Backlund shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stützle
Home
48.1% (580)
52.5% (282)
Away
51.1% (653)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Backlund
Stützle
P1
45.1%
52.1%
P2
54.7%
56.2%
P3
49.0%
52.0%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | OT | 02:30 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |