Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.0% vs Gourde 44.8% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 63.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 64.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Backlund
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Backlund
Gourde
Last 6: Backlund 3-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (1,070)
40.9% (279)
+10.2%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
58.3% (60)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (248)
36.0% (25)
+9.2%
On even strength, Backlund has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Backlund is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Backlund shoots left. Gourde is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Backlund
Gourde
Home
49.3% (702)
45.5% (189)
Away
50.7% (708)
41.1% (175)
By Period
Backlund
Gourde
P1
46.3%
42.4%
P2
53.8%
48.3%
P3
49.9%
40.3%
OT
45.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 00:31 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |