Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Gourde 49.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 59.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 60.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Backlund
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Backlund
Gourde
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Backlund
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
0
Backlund
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
49.1% (847)
+2.8%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
79.5% (44)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
39.5% (81)
+4.8%
On power play, Gourde has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Backlund
Gourde
Home
51.9% (673)
50.1% (491)
Away
49.9% (713)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Backlund
Gourde
P1
51.4%
54.7%
P2
50.5%
45.0%
P3
51.4%
49.4%
OT
35.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |