Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Gourde 49.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 56.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 68.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Backlund
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Backlund
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Backlund
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,032)
51.2% (469)
-0.8%
Power Play
52.3% (107)
42.9% (21)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (313)
37.5% (48)
+3.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Backlund shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Backlund
Gourde
Home
48.7% (749)
47.8% (301)
Away
48.1% (703)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Backlund
Gourde
P1
50.4%
47.3%
P2
50.1%
53.4%
P3
45.8%
48.6%
OT
30.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |