Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.3% vs Gourde 48.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 64.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 56.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Backlund
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Backlund
Gourde
Last 10: Backlund 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
3
Backlund
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
5
Backlund
Gourde
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
4
6
Backlund
Gourde
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,205)
48.0% (914)
+3.0%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
54.2% (48)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (234)
43.9% (123)
-1.6%
On power play, Backlund has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Backlund shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Backlund
Gourde
Home
51.2% (782)
50.2% (512)
Away
49.4% (765)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Backlund
Gourde
P1
51.5%
50.0%
P2
49.8%
45.3%
P3
49.9%
48.6%
OT
37.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |