Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 47.1% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 76.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 71.0%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 54.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Rantanen
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (309)
56.6% (1,064)
-10.3%
Power Play
51.3% (39)
60.4% (260)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
54.0% (261)
-37.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Rantanen is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Rantanen shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Home
51.8% (197)
54.9% (801)
Away
39.5% (157)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Rantanen
O'Reilly
P1
47.2%
58.0%
P2
44.8%
56.7%
P3
46.9%
55.4%
OT
50.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
40.8%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |