Mikko Rantanen vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 20 meetings). Rantanen wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 26-20 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 96.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 66.3%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 73.7%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
26
(46 meetings)
20
26
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Last 10: Rantanen 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
15
2
Rantanen
O'Reilly
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
18
Rantanen
O'Reilly
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
6
Rantanen
O'Reilly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,522)
56.2% (15,260)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.8% (484)
58.8% (3,445)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
51.4% (2,811)
-37.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Rantanen is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Rantanen shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Home
53.0% (1,067)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
48.3% (946)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Rantanen
O'Reilly
P1
49.0%
55.6%
P2
51.3%
57.0%
P3
51.8%
55.1%
OT
57.8%
62.2%
Final 5 min
47.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 11, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 03:38 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |