Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.0% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 51.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 80.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 70.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (44)
55.4% (826)
-5.4%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
57.9% (221)
-7.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Rantanen is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Rantanen shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Home
48.4% (31)
55.8% (579)
Away
51.5% (33)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Rantanen
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
57.7%
P2
33.3%
54.8%
P3
70.6%
54.3%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |