Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 47.1% vs Thompson 41.2% (+6.0%)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 70.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 73.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.5%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Rantanen
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (309)
40.6% (801)
+5.7%
Power Play
51.3% (39)
44.7% (103)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
31.0% (71)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Rantanen is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Rantanen shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Thompson
Home
51.8% (197)
43.2% (507)
Away
39.5% (157)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Rantanen
Thompson
P1
47.2%
37.7%
P2
44.8%
43.4%
P3
46.9%
39.5%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
40.8%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%