Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Marner wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Pearson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 43.1% vs Pearson 39.2% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Pearson 60.3%
Defensive zone
Marner 60.8%
Neutral zone
Pearson 50.8%
Result
Tanner Pearson favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Marner
Pearson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Pearson
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (462)
34.1% (232)
+8.1%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
44.4% (72)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (65)
26.3% (19)
+9.1%
On power play, Marner has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pearson shoots left. Marner is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Marner shoots right. Pearson is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Marner
Pearson
Home
38.2% (293)
32.7% (165)
Away
46.0% (252)
39.2% (158)
By Period
Marner
Pearson
P1
39.1%
40.4%
P2
41.1%
33.0%
P3
47.1%
34.9%
OT
40.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
32.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
41.8%
Pearson
24.0%▼
31.0%
35.9%