Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 46.6% vs Pearson 45.1% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Pearson 54.3%
Defensive zone
Pearson 52.6%
Neutral zone
Marner 50.9%
Result
Tanner Pearson favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Marner
Pearson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Pearson
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (12)
17.6% (17)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Marner has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pearson shoots left. Marner is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Marner shoots right. Pearson is 12.5% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Marner
Pearson
Home
20.0% (10)
30.0% (10)
Away
33.3% (6)
16.7% (12)
By Period
Marner
Pearson
P1
0.0%
25.0%
P2
57.1%
20.0%
P3
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
100.0%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
25.0%
Pearson
24.0%▼
31.0%
22.7%