Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +20.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 50.8% vs Pearson 44.6% (+20.5%)
Offensive zone
Pearson 68.5%
Defensive zone
Marner 58.1%
Neutral zone
Pearson 52.0%
Result
Tanner Pearson favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Marner
Pearson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Pearson
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (7)
37.5% (32)
+19.6%
On even strength, Marner has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pearson shoots left. Marner is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Marner shoots right. Pearson is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Marner
Pearson
Home
44.4% (9)
21.7% (23)
Away
66.7% (9)
44.1% (34)
By Period
Marner
Pearson
P1
80.0%
53.3%
P2
44.4%
26.9%
P3
33.3%
31.3%
Final 5 min
60.0%
30.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
55.6%
Pearson
24.0%▼
31.0%
35.1%