Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 44.8% vs Pearson 45.2% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Marner 50.2%
Defensive zone
Marner 57.4%
Neutral zone
Marner 52.0%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Marner
Pearson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Pearson
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (24)
26.1% (23)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
0.0% (1)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Marner has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pearson shoots left. Marner is 23.5% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Marner shoots right. Pearson is 11.1% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Marner
Pearson
Home
16.7% (18)
14.3% (14)
Away
43.8% (16)
40.0% (10)
By Period
Marner
Pearson
P1
10.0%
11.1%
P2
35.7%
44.4%
P3
40.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
25.0%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
29.4%
Pearson
24.0%▼
31.0%
25.0%