Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +20.8% FO% edge overall. Marner wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Pearson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 43.1% vs Pearson 45.0% (+20.8%)
Offensive zone
Marner 61.8%
Defensive zone
Marner 61.9%
Neutral zone
Marner 53.3%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Marner
Pearson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Pearson
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (282)
16.7% (18)
+24.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
50.0% (2)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Pearson has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pearson shoots left. Marner is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Marner shoots right. Pearson is 11.1% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Marner
Pearson
Home
36.1% (158)
15.4% (13)
Away
46.1% (141)
28.6% (7)
By Period
Marner
Pearson
P1
41.6%
30.0%
P2
40.2%
16.7%
P3
40.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
40.8%
Pearson
24.0%▼
31.0%
20.0%