Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 48.8% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-11.0%)
Offensive zone
Barron 57.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 70.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Barron
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (24)
56.1% (690)
-6.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
64.6% (96)
-64.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
45.9% (109)
-20.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +64.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Barron is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Barron shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Barron
O'Reilly
Home
50.0% (12)
58.3% (408)
Away
41.2% (17)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Barron
O'Reilly
P1
28.6%
57.7%
P2
60.0%
54.8%
P3
60.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
28.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
44.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%