Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Barron wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 51.3% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 71.5%
Defensive zone
Barron 72.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Barron
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (152)
56.2% (983)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
52.0% (102)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Barron is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (104).
Barron shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Barron
O'Reilly
Home
46.1% (76)
56.2% (697)
Away
57.5% (87)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Barron
O'Reilly
P1
63.0%
54.5%
P2
51.0%
55.5%
P3
45.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
52.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%