Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 47.9% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barron 51.4%
Defensive zone
Barron 67.9%
Neutral zone
Barron 52.3%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Barron
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barron
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Barron
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (118)
55.0% (1,084)
-9.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.8% (303)
+43.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
40.3% (149)
+6.4%
On power play, Barron has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Barron is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Barron shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Barron
O'Reilly
Home
48.4% (64)
54.8% (759)
Away
44.3% (70)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Barron
O'Reilly
P1
52.1%
55.3%
P2
46.4%
51.9%
P3
37.9%
54.2%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
40.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |