Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Frost 50.3% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 63.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 95.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 76.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Cizikas
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
10
(28 meetings)
18
10
Cizikas
Frost
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
6
Cizikas
Frost
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
7
1
Cizikas
Frost
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
8
3
Cizikas
Frost
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (8,946)
49.4% (3,598)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
55.5% (625)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,895)
52.8% (36)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Cizikas shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Frost
Home
53.7% (5,498)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Cizikas
Frost
P1
53.0%
50.8%
P2
51.1%
51.1%
P3
51.7%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:48 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |