Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 46.2% vs Geekie 49.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 70.0%
Defensive zone
Geekie 66.1%
Neutral zone
Geekie 51.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Frost
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Frost
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (833)
49.9% (505)
-4.3%
Power Play
46.0% (100)
0.0% (6)
+46.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
48.4% (93)
+7.2%
On power play, Frost has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Frost shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Frost
Geekie
Home
47.0% (440)
50.0% (314)
Away
44.8% (511)
48.3% (290)
By Period
Frost
Geekie
P1
42.5%
51.3%
P2
47.9%
46.9%
P3
46.6%
49.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |