Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Geekie 48.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 55.8%
Defensive zone
Geekie 74.3%
Neutral zone
Geekie 61.8%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Frost
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Frost
Geekie
Last 10: Frost 3-7 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
1
Frost
Geekie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
7
Frost
Geekie
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Frost
Geekie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
48.8% (2,307)
+0.6%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
45.7% (188)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
45.7% (129)
+7.1%
On power play, Frost has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Frost shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Home / Away
Frost
Geekie
Home
51.0% (2,047)
50.0% (1,281)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
46.8% (1,343)
By Period
Frost
Geekie
P1
50.8%
48.6%
P2
51.1%
48.8%
P3
48.5%
47.7%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |