Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Frost wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 49.5% vs Geekie 44.9% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 64.1%
Defensive zone
Geekie 84.7%
Neutral zone
Geekie 69.7%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
Frost
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Frost
Geekie
Last 10: Frost 3-7 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
0
Frost
Geekie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
7
Frost
Geekie
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (704)
43.7% (584)
+4.9%
Power Play
55.7% (115)
47.1% (68)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
50.0% (8)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Frost is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Frost shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Frost
Geekie
Home
49.9% (399)
45.3% (329)
Away
49.1% (424)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Frost
Geekie
P1
51.2%
41.2%
P2
53.9%
45.0%
P3
42.7%
46.2%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |