Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Geekie 47.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 54.6%
Defensive zone
Frost 51.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 51.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Frost
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Frost
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
45.7% (352)
+4.6%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
63.2% (19)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Frost shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Frost
Geekie
Home
50.7% (489)
48.5% (165)
Away
51.7% (544)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Frost
Geekie
P1
53.6%
48.5%
P2
47.8%
45.1%
P3
52.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
48.1%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |