Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.8%). Frost wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 48.7% vs Roy 48.9% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Frost 57.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 58.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Frost
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (426)
49.5% (746)
-2.1%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
50.7% (75)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
42.7% (110)
-22.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Frost is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Frost shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Frost
Roy
Home
51.1% (221)
47.7% (491)
Away
45.9% (246)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Frost
Roy
P1
47.5%
51.1%
P2
52.3%
44.6%
P3
44.7%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%