Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 49.5% vs Roy 47.2% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Frost 77.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 78.2%
Neutral zone
Frost 50.7%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Frost
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (704)
47.5% (617)
+1.1%
Power Play
55.7% (115)
39.6% (53)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
46.4% (97)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Frost is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Frost shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Frost
Roy
Home
49.9% (399)
47.2% (398)
Away
49.1% (424)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Frost
Roy
P1
51.2%
48.6%
P2
53.9%
48.8%
P3
42.7%
43.9%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%