Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 48.7% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Frost 76.6%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 74.8%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 57.9%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Frost
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (426)
53.2% (299)
-5.8%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
33.3% (3)
+30.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
46.5% (86)
-26.5%
On power play, Frost has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Frost is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Frost shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Frost
Carpenter
Home
51.1% (221)
54.6% (207)
Away
45.9% (246)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Frost
Carpenter
P1
47.5%
52.3%
P2
52.3%
51.5%
P3
44.7%
50.8%
Final 5 min
43.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%