Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 48.7% vs Johansen 52.4% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 55.9%
Defensive zone
Frost 55.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 52.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Frost
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Frost
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Frost
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (426)
49.4% (1,010)
-2.0%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
62.3% (236)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
67.2% (67)
-47.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Frost is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Frost shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Frost
Johansen
Home
51.1% (221)
54.7% (655)
Away
45.9% (246)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Frost
Johansen
P1
47.5%
52.2%
P2
52.3%
50.7%
P3
44.7%
54.8%
OT
100.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
43.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |