Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Johansen 53.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 69.4%
Defensive zone
Frost 56.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 61.7%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Frost
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Frost
Johansen
Last 10: Frost 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
4
Frost
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
5
Frost
Johansen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Frost
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
53.1% (11,017)
-3.7%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
56.2% (2,163)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
50.5% (978)
+2.3%
On even strength, Johansen has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Frost shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Frost
Johansen
Home
51.0% (2,047)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Frost
Johansen
P1
50.8%
53.2%
P2
51.1%
53.9%
P3
48.5%
52.8%
OT
66.7%
58.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:23 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |