Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 46.2% vs McLeod 48.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 56.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 56.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 52.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Frost
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Frost
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (833)
49.0% (500)
-3.4%
Power Play
46.0% (100)
43.8% (48)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
44.0% (50)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Frost shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Frost
McLeod
Home
47.0% (440)
50.9% (291)
Away
44.8% (511)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Frost
McLeod
P1
42.5%
44.3%
P2
47.9%
52.4%
P3
46.6%
47.8%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |