Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.6%). Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs McLeod 49.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 86.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 56.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 63.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Frost
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Frost
McLeod
Last 10: Frost 8-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
6
2
Frost
McLeod
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
0
Frost
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
2
Frost
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
50.4% (3,345)
-1.0%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
51.0% (292)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
44.3% (635)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Frost shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Frost
McLeod
Home
51.0% (2,047)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Frost
McLeod
P1
50.8%
50.8%
P2
51.1%
48.4%
P3
48.5%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
37.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |