Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 49.5% vs McLeod 50.7% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 62.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 63.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 52.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Frost
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Frost
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (704)
51.3% (628)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.7% (115)
68.3% (41)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
30.6% (49)
-5.6%
On power play, McLeod has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Frost shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Frost
McLeod
Home
49.9% (399)
51.5% (394)
Away
49.1% (424)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Frost
McLeod
P1
51.2%
51.5%
P2
53.9%
47.0%
P3
42.7%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |