Morgan Frost vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 49.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 66.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 73.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Frost
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Frost
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Frost
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (704)
51.0% (408)
-2.4%
Power Play
55.7% (115)
0.0% (6)
+55.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
35.9% (78)
-10.9%
On power play, Frost has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Frost shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Frost
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.9% (399)
50.8% (258)
Away
49.1% (424)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Frost
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.2%
51.6%
P2
53.9%
45.2%
P3
42.7%
47.6%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 16:57 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |