Who wins more faceoffs, Morgan Frost or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Morgan Frost leads the head-to-head 4-3 across 7 faceoffs.

What is Morgan Frost's faceoff record against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Morgan Frost is 4-3 against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-2, Defensive 1-0, Neutral 2-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Morgan Frost or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Morgan Frost is the predicted winner with a 66.5% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Morgan Frost vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Morgan FrostL vs Ryan Nugent-HopkinsL

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Morgan Frost holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Frost wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Frost 55.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+8.2%)

H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Frost 78.2%

Defensive zone Frost 54.4%

Neutral zone Frost 58.9%

Result Morgan Frost favored at 66.5%

66.5%

33.5%

Frost Nugent-Hopkins

Head-to-Head Record

4 - 3 (7 meetings)

Frost Nugent-Hopkins

Last 7: Frost 4-3 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Nugent-Hopkins

Frost Nugent-Hopkins

3 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Frost

Frost Nugent-Hopkins

1 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Frost

Frost Nugent-Hopkins

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Frost

Nugent-Hopkins

Edge

Even Strength

54.9% (701)

47.6% (231)

+7.3%

Power Play

60.8% (166)

83.3% (12)

-22.5%

Penalty Kill

100.0% (5)

33.3% (21)

+66.7%

On penalty kill, Frost has a +66.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).

Frost shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).

Home / Away

Frost

Nugent-Hopkins

Home

56.0% (443)

51.2% (164)

Away

56.6% (429)

43.0% (100)

By Period

Frost

Nugent-Hopkins

58.9%

50.0%

55.3%

46.2%

54.0%

49.5%

70.0%

0.0%

Final 5 min

51.4%

44.8%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Frost

62.0%▲

59.0%

56.3%

Nugent-Hopkins

58.0%▲

50.0%

48.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Feb 4, 2026	1	09:28	Defensive	Morgan Frost
Feb 4, 2026	1	00:00	Neutral	Morgan Frost
Oct 8, 2025	OT	00:00	Neutral	Morgan Frost
Oct 8, 2025	3	01:04	Offensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 8, 2025	3	01:00	Offensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 8, 2025	2	01:52	Offensive	Morgan Frost
Oct 8, 2025	1	05:48	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Frost's Profile | Nugent-Hopkins's Profile