Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 48.7% vs Johnson 53.6% (-12.4%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 50.3%
Defensive zone
Frost 62.8%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Frost
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (426)
61.9% (42)
-14.5%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
55.6% (9)
+8.3%
On even strength, Johnson has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Frost is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Frost shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Frost
Johnson
Home
51.1% (221)
52.0% (25)
Away
45.9% (246)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Frost
Johnson
P1
47.5%
72.0%
P2
52.3%
66.7%
P3
44.7%
27.3%
Final 5 min
43.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%