Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Johnson 51.4% (-12.4%)
Offensive zone
Frost 70.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 53.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 54.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Frost
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
63.6% (11)
-13.3%
On even strength, Johnson has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Frost shoots left. Johnson is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Frost
Johnson
Home
50.7% (489)
62.5% (8)
Away
51.7% (544)
66.7% (3)
By Period
Frost
Johnson
P2
47.8%
85.7%
P3
52.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
63.6%