Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 46.2% vs Johnson 50.7% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 61.9%
Defensive zone
Frost 66.2%
Neutral zone
Frost 51.6%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Frost
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Frost
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (833)
47.4% (78)
-1.8%
Power Play
46.0% (100)
57.6% (33)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
100.0% (2)
-44.4%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Frost shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Frost
Johnson
Home
47.0% (440)
50.9% (57)
Away
44.8% (511)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Frost
Johnson
P1
42.5%
44.1%
P2
47.9%
59.4%
P3
46.6%
52.3%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |