Morgan Frost vs Zemgus Girgensons
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 48.7% vs Girgensons 49.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 66.1%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 67.9%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 54.8%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Frost
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Frost
Girgensons
Last 9: Frost 5-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
2
Frost
Girgensons
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (426)
49.0% (210)
-1.6%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
63.6% (22)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
47.3% (55)
-27.3%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Frost shoots left. Girgensons is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Frost
Girgensons
Home
51.1% (221)
52.1% (142)
Away
45.9% (246)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Frost
Girgensons
P1
47.5%
54.3%
P2
52.3%
49.1%
P3
44.7%
44.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:43 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |