Morgan Frost vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Girgensons 45.3% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 90.8%
Defensive zone
Frost 53.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 73.6%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Frost
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Frost
Girgensons
Last 10: Frost 6-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
5
2
Frost
Girgensons
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
2
Frost
Girgensons
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
45.4% (2,700)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
49.1% (175)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
42.2% (481)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Frost shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Frost
Girgensons
Home
51.0% (2,047)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Frost
Girgensons
P1
50.8%
45.7%
P2
51.1%
44.1%
P3
48.5%
45.5%
OT
66.7%
52.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:43 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |