Morgan Frost vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 55.7% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 84.8%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 83.8%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 56.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Frost
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Frost
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Frost
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (701)
43.2% (146)
+11.7%
Power Play
60.8% (166)
50.0% (2)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
44.8% (29)
+55.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +55.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Frost shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Frost
Girgensons
Home
56.0% (443)
40.3% (72)
Away
56.6% (429)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Frost
Girgensons
P1
58.9%
43.8%
P2
55.3%
44.6%
P3
54.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |